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Africa: US Trade Policy (Commentary), 9/11/97

Africa: US Trade Policy (Commentary), 9/11/97

Africa: US Trade Policy (Commentary), 1

Date distributed (ymd): 970911

Document reposted by APIC

In recent years, US economic policies towards Africa have become the subject of growing debate. A number of references to recent executive and legislative policy, as well as to NGO commentary and critique, can be found in a previous posting: http://www.africapolicy.org/docs97/eco9708.htm

This posting and the next contain a two-part commentary by Tetteh Hormeku of the Third World Network in Accra, Ghana, publishers of African Agenda. The previous posting cited above contained a commentary by Oduor Ong'wen of EcoNews Africa in Kenya.

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U.S. TRADE POLICY FOR AFRICA IS INTERVENTION BY OTHER MEANS

The US President's recently announced trade and investment initiative with regard to Africa is not aimed at helping that continent rebuild its economic capacities. Instead, the initiative is very much in the mould of America's old militaristic intervention in Africa, seeking primarily to promote American interests, this time in competition with Europe. (First in a two-part analysis of recent US policy on Africa)

By Tetteh Hormeku

Third World Network Features

Accra: To all outward appearances, Africa's big moment at the June 1997 Denver Summit of the Eight was US President Clinton's trade and investment initiative, offering expanded trade concessions to African countries to support further market-oriented economic reforms.

For many the initiative represented a welcome departure from America's past policy of subversive intervention in Africa. The US seemed ready at last to help Africa build its economic capacities.

Nothing could be more deceptive.

What Clinton announced in Denver was not really about Africans, but about American business and competition with Europe. Ron Brown, the late US Secretary for Commerce, said as much when he visited Ghana in early 1996 on his five-country African tour as part of the processes leading to the formulation of Clinton's initiative.

Brown told a meeting of Ghanaian business people that the US would no longer cede the African market to her European friends or anyone else. 'What I expect in Ghana,' he added, 'is the continued move toward more reforms and privatisation and an aggressive pursuit by American companies of business opportunities in Ghana.'

Africa, as the 1996 US policy document 'Comprehensive Trade and Development Policy for the Countries of Africa' put it, is the 'last frontier for American businesses'.

The Clinton initiative thus is very much in the mould of America's old militaristic intervention in Africa, seeking primarily to promote American interests. As in the old times, the content of policy is very much shaped by competition against an adversary from outside the African continent: Europe now takes the place of the old Soviet adversary. These may be the real factors behind the European grumbling (led by France) which greeted the Clinton initiative at the Denver summit.

Judging from the summit final communique, which affirmed deeper International Monetary Fund/World Bank-type market reforms and strengthened World Trade Organisation disciplines in Africa, Clinton's interventions in Denver must have had one overriding effect. That is to bind his partners-turned-primary competitors to a framework for competition over Africa which is consistent with the drive to promote American business interests.

The summit, then, may have served to secure the international front for the policy initiatives being developed for Africa inside America, including the bi-partisan Africa Growth and Opportunity Bill now in the US Congress. Africans, in their turn, may come to find all this every bit as subversive of their independent economic and political options as America's 'old ways'.

The hard-nosed US drive in Africa which is yet aimed at Europe is not accidental. It derives partly from the fact that existing US investment is narrow and shallow compared to Europe's. It is also because the sectors of African economies that US businesses see as an opportunity for profit demand an even tougher stance against potential competitors, and at the same time require sweeping changes to Africa's economic policy frameworks and priorities.

Up till 1993, US foreign direct investment (FDI) in Africa has been slight compared to Europe's, less diverse and with less rapid growth. According to the UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) 1996 World Investment Directory (Volume V), US FDI flows to Africa fell from a third of all developed country FDI in the 1970s to 15% in the early 1990s.

In absolute figures, FDI from the US stood at $308 million during the period of 1975-1980, fell to a negative $19 million in 1981-1985, and rose gradually again to $200 million during 1991-1993. Over the same period, Europe's FDI stood at $472 million in 1975-1980, dipped to $478 million in 1981-1985, and stood at $1,134 million at the end of 1991-1993. Furthermore, while US investment only rose from $173 million in 1986/1990 to $200 million in 1991/93, European investment rose from $441 million to $1,134 million.

As for diversity of investment, among the 50 largest affiliates of foreign-based transnationals operating in the industrial and tertiary sectors in Africa in 1993, the six from the US are in distributive trade, transport and petro-chemicals, and metals sectors. By contrast, the 38 from the UK, France, and the Netherlands are into everything - food, beverages, tobacco, rubber, petro-chemicals, non-metallic minerals, coal and petroleum.

Furthermore, among the 25 affiliates in finance and insurance, only two are from the US. The rest are predominantly from Western Europe. The story is much the same in the primary sector, particularly mining and other natural resource extraction. This is dominated by South African, Western European, Canadian and Australian concerns.

US officials attribute this situation to European (mis)use of colonial ties.

A Commerce Department policy paper which trailed Ron Brown to Ghana complained that 'foreign governments continue to use their ties with these (African) countries to maintain influence and win business'.

The US attempts to redress this by its insistence, aggressively reaffirmed in Denver, that every aspect of international economic policy be derived from the indiscriminate market principles contained in WTO rules. The aim is to ensure 'that US investors (in other countries) are assured of being treated as fairly and favourably as domestic and other foreign competitors'.

Adherence to WTO rules becomes even more important for another reason. Corporate America does not only seek to enter into areas now dominated by Europe, but has its sights on new areas opening up in African economies in the light of the new waves - the dismantling of the state sector in Africa. Key in this area is infrastructure.

At one of the briefings held by the State Department at the Denver summit, Larry Summers, Deputy US Treasury Secretary, enthused about the opportunities opened up by 'private investment in utilities, private toll roads, in many cases, private water supply systems, and in a large number of cases privatisation of telecommunications infrastructures'.

And in the words of Jeff Lang, Deputy US Trade Representative, telecommunications privatisation in particular are 'very attractive opportunities for American and other large telecommunications companies'. To promote this, the US seeks to promote in African countries particular commitment to the General Agreement in Trade in Services, one of the cardinal regimes of the WTO.

The US has been pursuing its aims through different African fora. One of these has been the African Development Bank group where a long-standing American complaint has been about the domination of Europe, particularly France, in the procurement stakes in spite of superior American shares.

Over the past two years, the US has been promoting reforms aiming to make 'the voting influence of the Bank's non-regional shareholders in its decision-making more commensurate with their financial contribution'. Parallel to this are efforts to get the Africa Development Fund, the concessionary wing of the Bank, to 'expand lending to the private sector for infrastructure projects'.

Another forum has been African governments themselves - the main target of Ron Brown's visit to Ghana, Uganda, Cote d'Ivoire, Kenya and Botswana in the early part of 1996. Taking with him plane-loads of US businessmen to talk directly to his counterparts in government, the visit resulted in contracts and agreements for American companies totalling $500 million, with the potential for future sales that eventually could total more than $3 billion in US exports. In Cote d'Ivoire, there were reported to be 40 US companies doing business at the time of the visit. Two years later, the number had risen to 80.

The other fora fall under what is described in US policy documents as 'reverse trade missions'. Here, groups of African government officials, policy-makers and trade union leaders are emplaned to America for discussions with American industry. Aimed at 'acquainting American firms with new market entry opportunities and the Africans with US technologies and specific firms capabilities', the discussions invariably turn to issues of investment stategy and economic management. (The Ghanaians had their turn recently by a visit to North Carolina.)

The Africans then return from these forums fully convinced of the nitty-gritty of macro-economics and management, all tailored to ensure the confidence of company shareholders. Even trade unionists become concerned with making sure that their demands are such that they do not drive away the foreign investor. - Third World Network Features

(continued in part 2)

About the writer: Tetteh Hormeku is economic researcher at the Africa Secretariat of the Third World Network in Accra.

When reproducing this feature, please credit Third World Network Features and (if applicable) the cooperating magazine or agency involved in the article, and give the byline. Please send us cuttings.

For more information, please contact: Third World Network 228, Macalister Road, 10400 Penang, Malaysia. Email: twn@igc.apc.org; twnpen@twn.po.my Tel: (+604)2293511,2293612 & 2293713; Fax: (+604)2298106 & 2264505. Third World Network-Africa can be reached at P.O. Box 8604, Accra-North, Ghana; tel: 233-21-224069; fax: 233-21-773857; e-mail: isodec@ncs.com.gh.

************************************************************

In recent years, US economic policies towards Africa have become the subject of growing debate. A number of references to executive and legislative policy, as well as to NGO commentary and critique, can be found in a previous posting: http://www.africapolicy.org/docs97/eco9708.htm

This posting and the immediately preceding one contain a two- part commentary by Tetteh Hormeku of the Third World Network in Accra, Ghana, publishers of African Agenda. The previous posting cited above contained a commentary by Oduor Ong'wen of EcoNews Africa in Kenya.

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NEW U.S. TRADE POLICY HELPS ITS TNCs, NOT AFRICA

The basic flaw of the new US trade policy for Africa, according to the writer, is that the policy measures and their orientation do not make any attempt to be sensitive to the peculiar demands of economic development imposed on African economies by their structure and place in the international economy. (continued from part 1; second in a two-part analysis of recent US policy on Africa)

By Tetteh Hormeku Third World Network Features

Accra: US President Bill Clinton's Denver initiative, like the 'new' US economic policy approach to Africa of which it is part, is designed to promote American corporate interests in Africa and to compete with and supplant Europe. The substance of this approach, both as outlined by administration officials and as taken up in the bi-partisan Africa Growth and Opportunity Act being promoted in the US Congress, hinges on three broad elements.

These elements are: expanded access to US markets of African commodities; promotion of US private investment in Africa; and possible establishment of US-Africa free trade areas. Proposed interventions in each area are tied to processes to ensure that the African market is open to American businesses.

Expanded US market access has two components. First, extension of America's Generalised System of Preferences (GSP), aiming to raise the number of African products entering US markets duty-free from 4,000 to about 5,800. While this is welcome, African experience with Europe under the Lome Convention shows that duty-free access is one thing; the capacity to produce and supply the market is another.

Building this capacity in Africa will be undermined by the conditions attached to the second component of the expanded US market access. This component, which is about eliminating US quotas for sub-Saharan textile and leather products, is conditioned upon the readiness of the countries 'to embark on bold trade reforms'.

Basically, this is a requirement that countries should open their economies to American produce and investment. For instance, the Growth and Opportunity bill includes agricultural market liberalisation among its 'bold reforms'. A key aspect of this is the removal of subsidies to agricultural inputs.

African countries which have been compelled to pursue similar policies under IMF-World Bank Structural Adjustment Programmes (SAPs) have found that these have undermined their own local production and have ended up with subsidised US grains being dumped on them. Thus, 'bold trade reforms' may involve undermining those very sectors which would allow African economies to develop the capacity to supply to the US market.

The second main plank of the 'new' US policy approach is the direct promotion of American private investment in Africa. What is striking here are the sectors of the African economy primarily targeted for such investment. One of these is commercial and natural resource development projects, to be leveraged by $150 million of Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC) funds. Predominant here is the mineral extraction sector, an area where American capital confronts its biggest competition in the form of European and Canadian transnational corporations.

In 1995, the US Eximbank approved over $23 million for the gold mining sector of Ghana, and an additional $316 million for the hydrocarbon sector in the same country.

The other main sector is 'infrastructure' - that is the privatisation of utilities and telecommunications. This is to be leveraged by $500 million OPIC funds. Again, in order to ensure the participation of the US private sector, the OPIC funds would be directed mainly at the countries 'pursuing the deepest market reforms'.

The third plank of the new US economic approach is the proposal for US-Africa free trade area(s).

This is how Larry Summers, US Deputy Treasury Secretary, presented it: 'In the future, as appropriate, the United States will be open to pursue free trade agreements with the strongest-performing, most growth-oriented sub-Saharan African countries.'

In a similar fashion, the bi-partisan Growth and Opportunity bill in the US Congress aims for 'one or more trade agreements' with eligible African countries - countries that have made substantial progress in thoroughgoing market-oriented reforms and provide high protection of foreign investment.

In effect, the free trade area project seeks a privileged relationship between the US and enclaves of successful African economies, constructing corridors of profitable investment across Africa for American business.

This idea is not restricted to the US. At the moment, Europe too is contemplating replacing the Lome Convention with a series of agreements which would deal with Africa's economies in groupings according to economic strength. Indeed, South African TNCs are already blazing a trail here. Here again, the motivation of American policy is shaped by competition with Europe and other trading blocs. The cost is likely to be Africa's own efforts at continent-wide regional economic integration.

How will these affect Africa?

To be sure, America's heightened interest in Africa may bring certain short-term and other benefits to African economies. The real issue, however, is how the series of interventions and the reforms they call for will affect Africa's ability in the long term to build integrated national and regional economic capacity.

Take the examples of the specific projects like US private investment in mining, finance, privatised infrastructure including privatised toll roads and liberalisation of agricultural markets. While these may bring benefits like increased revenue, jobs and the like, they risk perpetuating the skewed and fragmented nature of African production and market structures.

Mining for instance has long been acknowledged as one area where increased activity does not by its nature generate spill-over linkages with other sectors of the economy in terms of transfer of technology and secondary production. With the application of World Trade Organisation rules on foreign investment, which is part of the American package, African governments will find it even more impossible to take measures to create such linkages.

The same applies to investment in financial services, which in African economies have been related primarily to import-export. With privatisation, mainstream investment-financing has moved even further away from supporting domestic production networks, rural and urban.

Privatised infrastructure highlights another dimension of the problem.

Beyond the commercial centres, most African road and (where they exist) rail networks only connect primary commodity export locations, like mines, to the ports. Privatised toll roads are likely to re-emphasise this, since the most profitable lines will be precisely those linking primary export production. The cost will be the systematic development of networks of roads connecting even the least export-generating parts of the country, but which are necessary to promote the domestic economy.

In short, the proposed sites for the investment of American capital are the enclaves of high-profit-yielding sectors, with no direct linkages to other sectors of the economies. Admittedly, it may be up to African governments themselves to adopt strategies to ensure that such linkages are derived from the increased economic activities in these sectors that are likely to come with American investment.

But it is precisely in this regard that the totality of the policy prescriptions contained in the American package is decidedly subversive. The most outrageous of these are in the bi-partisan Growth and Opportunity bill in the US Congress, especially the criteria for eligibility established for the African countries to 'benefit' from its programmes.

According to the bill, an eligible country must have established, or show progress in establishing and enforcing a range of measures. These include: transforming commodities and non-traditional products for export through joint venture projects between African and US companies; promoting free movement of goods and services and factors of production between it and the US; ensuring appropriate, that is WTO-based levels of, protection of intellectual property rights, and opening up government procurement.

Furthermore, the country must enter into bilateral investment treaties; provide national treatment for foreign investors, that is treat foreign investors in the same way that it will treat its local investors; and remove restrictions on foreign investment, and minimise government intervention in the market. It must also reduce import and corporate taxes, and enter into treaties to avoid double taxation.

As if to make sure that it does not leave any loophole, the bill adds further general requirements. The first is that the country be a member of the WTO and, if it is not, be actively pursuing membership. Secondly, it must bind its tariffs in the WTO and assume meaningful binding obligations in other sectors of trade, in accordance with WTO rules. Finally, it must be in material compliance with its programmes and obligations to the International Monetary Fund and other international financial institutions, with the World Bank in the lead.

Each of these measures will, in a particular way, take away from African countries the very mechanisms available to them to develop strategies which ensure that foreign investment does not undermine but rather helps the development of local industrial and general economic capacity. To take a few examples:

Opening up government procurement to international bidding means that contracts for supply go to foreign and not local contractors. National treatment for foreign investors implies that any incentives that a government may give to a local investor to promote a particular sector, say rural banking, must go to foreign companies, thus undermining that particular strategy. Removing restrictions on foreign investors means that they cannot be appropriately regulated both in terms of where and how to invest to derive maximum benefit in accordance with a national strategy of development.

Free movement of goods, services and factors of production from the US to Africa at low or zero tariffs means in effect the dumping of cheap US products on the local markets to the detriment of local production - the same effect achieved in agriculture with agricultural market liberalisation. Double taxation treaties routinely lead to the home country of a TNC (here the US) taking the larger share of personal and corporate taxes that should have been available to the host country. Compliance with World Bank commitments is simply a means of prolonging the devastating effects of intrusion of these institutions into the policy-making arena of African countries, and so on.

In fact the list of reform measures is simply a dizzy shopping basket of the measures that the US has been seeking to impose (with varied success) in various international economic fora, like the WTO, and sub-regional groupings of which it is a member in Latin America and Asia Pacific. The purpose of all these is to remove what it has described as the obstacles working against US-based TNCs. In all these fora, developing countries have resisted the measures on the ground that while they may apply in the competition between the advanced capitalist countries, they are not appropriate for them.

This really is the basic flaw of the so-called new US policy for Africa. Designed to promote US business in Africa, where its main competitors are European TNCs, the new policy measures and their orientation do not make any attempt to be sensitive to the peculiar demands of economic development imposed on African economies by their structure and place in the international economy.

The cruel irony of it all is that key African institutions seem in a hurry to buy into this against all the evidence of their own analyses.

At a recent brain-storming session on trade hosted by the Organisation of African Unity (OAU), one of the conclusions which ran against all the other conclusions and analyses was support for the Growth and Opportunity bill. The US may thus have found new proxies to promote policies which perpetuate the overall structural problems of Africa's economies and take away from the Africans and their governments the very instruments for addressing them.

It is the age-old formula for intervention to undermine Africa that is being replayed anew. - Third World Network Features

-ends-

About the writer: Tetteh Hormeku is economic researcher at the Africa Secretariat of the Third World Network in Accra.

When reproducing this feature, please credit Third World Network Features and (if applicable) the cooperating magazine or agency involved in the article, and give the byline. Please send us cuttings.

For more information, please contact:

Third World Network 228, Macalister Road, 10400 Penang, Malaysia. Email: twn@igc.apc.org; twnpen@twn.po.my Tel: (+604)2293511,2293612 & 2293713; Fax: (+604)2298106 & 2264505 1642/97. Third World Network-Africa can be reached at P.O. Box 8604, Accra-North, Ghana; tel: 233-21-224069; fax: 233-21- 773857; e-mail: isodec@ncs.com.gh.

From: apic@igc.org Message-Id: <199709120119.SAA12917@igc3.igc.apc.org> Date: Thu, 11 Sep 1997 21:18:26 -0500 Subject: Africa: US Trade Policy (Commentary), 1/2

Editor: Ali B. Ali-Dinar

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